05 August 2025

My Books

                                  My Books

Montaigne wrote un essai 'On Books', disclaiming all knowledge and explicitly intending to throw light only on aspects of himself. Here I frankly do the same. 

I love my books as friends. Each book shares with me at least one common interest, and in many cases more than one. Sometime I discover an interest and recruit the books to share and deepen it. Sometime a book will initiate the friendship and open my eyes to a new fascination. Sometime a book will introduce me to its friends, as when I met Coleridge as a friend of Wordsworth. Then through Coleridge I met Hazlitt and Lamb.

Some of my books are old friends, going away back to my earliest childhood.  At that age books appeared at the will or whim of grown-ups; relatives, or nannies. Some I have largely by chance, for I had to share family books with six siblings. Thus, I have Father's copy of  'Household Stories from the collection of the Brothers Grimm', and Granny's 'Grey Owl', and 'Lives of the Hunted'. My Mother must have brought to the family shelves S. R. Crockett's 'Sir Toady Lion', which moved me no less than Crockett's  'The Lilac Sunbonnet'; the first time that my pre-adolescent heart-strings had been played upon in that way. Two more books that were chosen for me, but which I dearly loved, are: 'The Secret Garden' by F.H. Burnett, illustrated, Heinemann, 1949 printing; and a book of Irish folk tales called 'The Little Good People' by Kathleen Foyle, illustrated, Frederick Warne, 1949 printing, given (as I always imagined) by our Irish nanny.

As a teenager I roamed the shelves of our public libraries and the dustier recesses of second-hand bookshops. I owe to those dusty shelves my love of the helplessly irascible Walter Savage Landor, though my one remaining volume of 'Imaginary Conversations' seems to have belonged to my great aunt Mima. From Landor (the first man I heard described as a 'Literary Lion') I learned what little I know of the private life of Aesop. Also his fascinatingly arrogant 4-lined 'Finis'. But alas, he has had his day; his sun has set. 

Likewise to those dusty shelves I owe my transient admiration of Herbert Spencer. What heroic ambition!; to conceive and summarise all knowledge in his 10-volumed 'System of Synthetic Philosophy', a work that took him forty years to compile. Knowing my limits as a slow-reader, I bought only his 'First Principles', intriguingly divided into two sections: (i) The Unknowable, and (ii) The Knowable. Excited by Darwin, Spencer had coined the phrase "Survival of the Fittest", and, seeing how these ideas ramified, he boldly formed the idea of linking everything up; biology, sociology, ethics, psychology. When I moved to the Biology sixth form at school, I quickly concluded that I would learn nothing about biology from Spencer, and disposed of my 'First Principles'. Spencer  is another sad relic, passing from membership of the Athenaeum and clubbing with Presidents of the Royal Society, to virtual anonymity. 

I may confess here my pride in owning a 1847 edition of Chambers's 'Vestiges of the Natural History of Creation'. This book was credited (by Darwin himself) as paving the way for Darwin's  theory of Evolution by Natural Selection. What a lovely conceit, that of prying into the mind of God as he fumbled his way towards the creation of man! Chambers wondering, for example, if the two small nipples were added to a man's chest "for mere appearance' sake" (p. 200). This 6th edition (like the earlier ones) was anonymous, as the canny Robert Chambers did not want to bring trouble on himself or his family. It seems clear that Chambers was as convinced as Darwin, and Lamarck, of the long slow process of evolution, but he suggested no mechanism. If the animals and plants were created by a divine hand, then clearly God was at work experimenting for many thousands of years. That raises further questions; but today it seems amazing that church leaders were so (apparently) confident in their opposition. 

I should mention one other book where my pride in ownership (such as it is) outweighs my regard for the book. The preposterous Lord Chesterfield wrote some 400 letters to his illegitimate son, trying to teach him the superficiality that he himself valued so highly. He told his son: “I shall love you extremely, while you deserve it; but not one moment longer.” The illegitimate Phillip himself fathered two sons before secretly marrying their mother. He died before his father who, in his will provided for the two boys, but not for their mother; whereupon she sold her late husband's accumulated letters for 1,500 guineas. I bought my copy in 1990 when my son was 12, thinking I might learn some tips in fathering; but was horrified at the advice it so earnestly advocated.

I do not know how Plato's shorter dialogues first came into my hands. Were they just 'around the house', or was I rooting about in Shrewsbury town library? The first I read was either either 'Gorgias' or 'Protagoras', which I read as an elegant routing of a pompous windbag. I soon chased up the others. I was perhaps most impressed at Socrates' demonstration (in 'Meno') that the slave boy intuitively knew Pythagoras' theorem; and most moved by the death of Socrates (in 'Phaedo'). Socrates became one of my adolescent heroes, and for years was shoulder to shoulder with Jesus.

Yes, I love my books, deeply but not exclusively. In the spring or summer of 1962, the family moved from the fine 18 century dower house at Dorrington that we had rented for 7 years, to a smaller, newer, house in Carding Mill Valley. I came back from college to find the family already in occupation. Instead of my own room under the eaves on the 2nd floor, facing south over the rose garden, where the swifts swooped and screeched as they came in to their nests, I now shared a bedroom with my older brother. But I still had my fumed oak dining table, and my mahogany chest-of-drawers; and my books. One evening, after I had retired from the drawing room, Father came up to tell me that Mother had been quite hurt by my saying, over postprandial coffee, that "I loved coming home to my books". 

Tant pis! I could not un-say it.  Of course I loved my mother too. But let me return to my theme, for that was meant as a brief aside; we still have a way to go.

There were other quaintnesses in my teenage reading, where I differed from my siblings. And who else might I compare myself with, for we were a rather isolated family, perpetuating perhaps our shy father's own boyhood isolation. In Dorrington, we had entertained for several days a visitor from New Zealand, Dr. Armstrong, he who had established the medical practice and built the house that was our home in Taupo for three years. He gave me a book called 'The Boy's Country Book', containing articles on camping, fishing, gliding, underwater swimming, plant hunting, beach combing.  Why me? Perhaps I already showed signs that I would become a botanist. Or, perhaps my path in life was determined by the book. In either case it became a favourite. In the next few years I made myself a canoe, kept pigeons, fly-fished our stream, collected and identified wild-flowers, bought myself flippers and snorkel, camped rough-and-light, and youth hosteled.  

Two others of my favourite teenage books may be mentioned here: E.V. Lucas' 'The Open Road' anthology, and Stephen Graham's 'The Gentle Art of Tramping'. The latter explained how to make coffee in a billycan, and advised plenty of handkerchiefs. I have since walked (sleeping rough): Edinburgh to Moffat and back, Church Stretton to Llanbister Road station, Göttingen to Kassel, and part of the way from Paris to Dieppe. 

My real-life heroes are mostly intellectual heroes: Socrates, Plato, Marcus Aurelius, Montaigne, Francis Bacon, Descartes, Newton, Voltaire, Benjamin Franklin, J.S. Mill, Darwin, Einstein. I have biographies and, where available, autobiographies. Regarding men of action, I have biographies of Nelson and Wellington, and bought (to give away) Slocum's 'Sailing Alone Around the World'.

I have numerous books of biography, travel, history and philosophy; too many to list. And, in any case, owning, reading, and loving, are three very different things. I have well over a dozen dictionaries, and a similar number of grammars or guides to usage, poetry in collections and single authored volumes, and some hundred works of fiction ranging from Chaucer to the present. But these also do not clamour to be listed. 






03 August 2025

Herbert Marcuse

Herbert Marcuse (1898 – 1979)

    Seeing the title of the previous post ("Six Dimensional Man") reminded me that I had a book upstairs by Herbert Marcuse called "One Dimensional Man" that I had never read; never even openedMarcuse rocketed to world fame in the nineteen sixties, together with Hannah Arendt, as leading thinkers of the New Left. Perhaps it had belonged to my brother Peter (1944–1965). 

    This morning, while brewing my morning coffee, I brought the book down and took it out into the conservatory to read with my coffee. I could not make any sense of it. Even the title baffled me. Was it good to be one-dimensional, or bad? Did one-dimensional mean narrow, or focussed or obsessional. On page 50, half-way through a long paragraph, there was a line of type that had been carefully scored out, in ink. Had it not been scored I would have stumbled on that line, for it did not fit with the preceding line; nor did it fit with the following line. So my predecessor was right: there was a whole line of extraneous type inserted in the middle of the page. That rather knocked my confidence.

    The second-last chapter was titled "The Catastrophe of Liberation" –– and seemed oxymoronic.  I flipped through the final Conclusion, and put the book down defeated; and disappointed. My weary 83 year-old brain was not up to that sort of turgid prose writing and error-prone typography.

    Seeing my problem, the ingenious Google imp quickly found and proffered a 30 minute video [Ref.1] in which Bryan Magee interviewed the 79 year-old Marcuse, brilliantly revealing the important question raised by the Frankfurt School in 1930, two or three of the key answers they came up with in subsequent decades all carefully and cogently expounded by the aging Marcuse. I shall try to summarise [a] the question, and [b] the answers; then [c] turn to critique. (But I do recommend the video [Ref.1]). 

[a] The question raised by the Frankfurt philosophers was: "Why did Marx's proletarian revolution against capitalism not produce communism (as Marx had predicted), but produced instead the monster of fascism? And, after the (military) defeat of fascism, the present chaotic loss of values. 

[b] Obviously, society adapted.  On the one hand the proletariat changed; it was no longer true that "it had nothing to lose but its chains"; it had acquired many comforts and benefits, and it was better educated.  Capitalism also changed. It learned to manipulate the un-conscious and sub-conscious minds of its customers (the proletariat), creating false goals and selling empty dreams. But 'alienation' remained; the work of the average worker is unrewarding. The proletariat might even own shares, and thus the 'means of production', but it does not control the company; that is the role of the bosses earning grotesque salaries. 

[c] Critique. 

(i) Marcuse remained a loyal Marxist, in spite of the fact that all Marxist regimes were corrupt and brutal dictatorships, and in spite of the numerous and extensive corrections and modification that Marxism required in the mid-twentieth century. He remained a devotee of young Marx, sincerely believing that the ideal community involved sharing, co-operating and a 'subsuming of the Self'. (As, of course, did Buddha and Jesus.) Did Marcuse perhaps underestimate the strength and ubiquity of selfishness, and the role of 'Self' in concepts like liberty and libertarianism? 

(ii) Magee suggested that it is impossible to integrate individual egos into a class-based theory. Marcuse categorically disagreed. He had explicitly attempted (In "Eros and Civilization", 1955) to add Freud to Marx. But, while such an integration is highly relevant and necessary, it is a giant task. It may be that Marcuse only half succeeded. Economic theorists prefer to model individuals as motivated by rather simple forces like need, greed, fear, habit. The truth is absurdly more complex. 

(iii) Magee asked Marcuse why the philosophers of his school wrote such unreadably turgid prose. One might point out that these German philosophers all became refugees, living in the USA, writing and lecturing in a language that was not their mother tongue. Marcuse added Adorno's defence: that the Frankfurt School believed that the 'establishment' had so manipulated the language and syntax of social discourse that arguments automatically came out in their favour.  For example, people will tend to vote for 'liberty', till they eventually realise that 'regulation' better protects them from other people's liberties. To combat that deliberate manipulation, these philosophers felt driven to circumlocution and neologism. 

(iv)  Magee asked what positive benefits accrued from the Frankfurt School's updating of Marxism. Marcuse suggested that it provided, under the name of Critical Theory, a way of understanding the woes of our present post-capitalist Western society, claiming that while getting richer and more technically competent, we are getting more brutal, selfish, and dishonest. Magee suggested that this was a philosophy of disappointment.

(v) But (and this is my question, not Bryan Magee's) is Western society less happy now than in the nineteenth century?

   Anna Berry built a "constantly moving happiness machine" [Ref.2], to mimic and ridicule that created by the Techno-Military-Industrial-Complex, whereby the proletarian finds himself meaninglessly turning a handle, creating profit for someone else. 

References

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U23Ho0m_Sv0. "The Frankfurt School – Herbert Marcuse & Bryan Magee

[2] https://www.annaberry.co.uk/the-constantly-moving-happiness-machine/

28 July 2025

Six Dimensional Man

                         The Six Dimensional Man

        Our hero, Steve, stood in front of the brown varnished door labelled 'Maker'. Under the label was one of those sliding shutters that allowed only one of two options to be seen: 'IN' or 'OUT'. It showed 'IN'. Steve hesitated a moment, took a deep breath and tapped tentatively on the door. A muffled voice called "Come in", so in he went. 

"Complaint or compliment?", asked the duty officer.

"Well, compliments obviously", said Steve "but I have been thinking, and wondered if it would be too bold of me to make a suggestion."

"We mostly get compliments, but you have a suggestion, eh? I don't see why not. Wait here till that red light goes green. You are lucky we are not too busy today."

Steve sat down on the last of a row of empty chairs, near a second varnished door and the red light, and waited while he tried to compose his thoughts.  At last the door slid open and out stumbled a young woman with outstretched hands as in a trance; or as a rabbit might if exposed to a car's headlights. A moment later the light went green and in went Steve. 

The figure before him seemed perfectly familiar; in fact very like all the pictures, though somewhat larger than he had expected; fatter, more easy-going, and more smiling. Steve bowed his head a little in unconscious modesty. 

"Well," said the Maker, "I gather you have some ideas. Are you wondering why you only have two legs, perhaps? I often get that."  And he beamed a good-natured smile down on Steve. "I really don't think you would find an extra leg any better; or two, for that matter. Think of sitting down. Where would you put them? Or typing, or playing the piano?"

"No, it wasn't more legs. I think two is just fine, thank you. Brilliant, in fact. It is just that I heard someone say it was possible to have more than three dimensions. Is that really possible?"

"Yes, of course it is. You can have almost as many as you wish. Would you like a fourth dimension; temperature perhaps?  That would perhaps make you feel more distinguished, feel you had one more degree of freedom. How would you like that?"

"That is exactly the sort of thing I was thinking of. Wonderful. How would it work?". 

" Just as you and the others can go forwards and backwards, or up and down, so you would be able to get hotter or colder. Not exactly like up and down, for you cannot go very far down in temperature before you get to the bottom. But you can go up without limit. "

"Very interesting," said Steve. "Up is easier than down is it? " and he glanced up for the first time to catch the trace of a blush on the Maker's face, who sat for a few moments at his desk playing with a paperknife.

"Give it a try", suggested the Maker. "I do not think you will find that to be a serious limitation; most people prefer moderately warm temperatures. You can come back next week if it does not do the trick."

Steve, overcome with a feeling of blessedness, thanked the Maker, and left. Out in the street he looked around him. Would his fellow citizens realise his distinction? He popped into a stationers and had some cards printed 'Four dimensional man' followed by his name and address. These he would give out whenever he got into conversation with somebody he judged able to appreciate the implications. 

On one such occasion the recipient, after hearing the explanation, looked at the card a second time, and said: "But I think I also have a temperature; I use this little thermometer, and can find the numerical value of my temperature in centigrade or absolute degrees, whenever I want."

Steve was back outside the brown varnished door at the same time on the following week. He was admitted again and greeted again with the same grace and genial good humour.

"Dissatisfied?" asked the Maker. 

"No, no; very satisfied" said Steve. "It is just that I find a number of people also have a temperature, and was wondering if I could have something a tad more esoteric. You said one could have almost as many dimensions as one wanted."

" Sure thing; no problem. What about 'Glow', or 'Spin'? They are a little more esoteric. ".

"Yes, those sound intriguing. Do tell me what they govern?"

"Well, 'Glow' governs happiness. You can travel from very, very unhappy to very, very happy. Once again there is a limitation, I am afraid; you cannot get away from the mean. You cannot always be happy. 'Spin' is a bit more mysterious.  You cannot have two bodies in the same place if they have the same spin; but you can if they have opposite spins. It works well in some long-term marriages."

"I shall try that one, if I may", and Steve left the presence as delighted as he had been the previous week. He asked the stationer if he could cross out the word 'Four' and over-print with 'Five', but was persuaded to scrap the old cards and start with some new ones. 

With his Spin he felt he was getting closer to his dream-world of sub-atomic mysteries. But he was still not completely satisfied. He felt he was still a long way from being able to be in two places at once.  Nor could he be alive and dead at the same time; though admittedly that was not a high priority in his dream world, except perhaps as a stunt. 

So he turned up again at the now-familiar door and, as before, was admitted to the antechamber; and there he waited as before, until the red light went green and he was allowed into the presence.

"How goes it with Spin", he was asked. 

" Oh, fine! Yes, quite fine, thank you. It turns out my wife and I do not get on all that well, so it is not as much use as it might have been. Do you know anything about alternative universes". 

" Not much" admitted the Maker. "We could try reversing 'Time' for you. Before the Big-Bang and the origin of this universe there was another universe exactly like this one, only the mirror image, as it were."

"What about the multiverse?" asked Steve. 

"Oh that's just a theory, and probably a wrong one." The Maker gave a chuckle, before modestly adding "In my opinion." 

"Oh," said Steve, in naĂŻf admiration at the straight-forward frankness of his Maker. "Do explain –– please."

  "Well, you know how a single electron can go through two adjacent slits at once, and give an interference pattern. You might well ask how a single entity and a single instance can give a  probability pattern. One possible explanation  is that the one electron in one instant is really present simultaneously in a hundred or more parallel universes. So you can talk of an average position, or a probability. But that interpretation depends on the Quantum Theory being right,  and I am not sure it is. "

  "Is there an alternative theory?" asked Steve.

"Well, yes, there are several, as a matter of fact; for example David Bohm's 'Hidden Variable' theory. If you knew the value of that hidden parameter, the electron's  initial state would not be indeterminate, and nor would any of its subsequent states. But this is very new stuff, you know. Not confirmed."

"I wouldn't mind testing out a hidden variable, if you like", Steve offered. 

"I think it would be very unwise to tinker with anything you do not fully understand", said the Maker.  But for Steve the idea of a new batch of business cards bearing the words 'Six Dimensional Man' had already seized his mind; he could think of nothing else. 

"Please", said Steve, then added "if you can", which provoked a slight frown on the previously bland face of his Maker. 

Out on the street he gave a skip of sheer delight, and hastened off to the stationer. The next day the stationer brought the neat box of new cards to Steve's house, but Steve's wife explained that she had not seen her husband since the previous evening. 

        And indeed, Steve was never seen again. Not around town and, as far as we know, not anywhere. 

 

25 July 2025

De l'Amour

 De l'Amour

Max and I sat sipping wine in my conservatory as the light slowly faded.

"So," I asked, "what do you say when your girlfriend says she loves you and asks if you love her?'"

"Huh!" he shrugged, "Of course I murmur something about me loving her too. But in truth I am thrown into confusion."

"Even panic" I replied.  "What is love, anyway? I am not sure if I have ever experienced love. Fondness, liking, friendship, familiarity, I know all these. And wanting something, desperately; like a boy for a bicycle, or a girl for a pet.  I rotated my glass by its stem, tilted it and sniffed the heavy vapour. "How would I know love if I had it? Is love the same for everyone?  etc, etc."

"Is love perhaps a female thing?" Max asked.

"Oh yes!  I can see why a girl might want to know, of her man, the level of his commitment, as it is she who might have to carry the consequences.  Fair enough, but how on earth can admitting or claiming to be in love convince anyone of anything?"  

Max agreed. 

"Are there no other signs? More reliable ones. Perhaps a distracted air, dilated pupils, or something in the gait? Perhaps someone could devise a test kit; a colour-changing dip-stick. I am sure there would be a market for that."  

"You might think", suggested Max, "that bringing a bunch of flowers should be enough; if they are red ones."

"Come on Max, you are being frivolous, as you often are. I am being serious about this, as is my wont. Some sixty years ago I read Stendhal's 'De l'Amour', but I never got much into it, nor much out of it. All I remember at this distance is his concept of 'Crystallisation'; the way additional virtues accrue spontaneously to the 'love-object'; as salt crystals grow in the saturated atmosphere of a salt-mine."

"All the great essayists treat of 'Friendship'; do not some also consider love?". I believe I have read Montaigne on 'Friendship', and Emerson, and Francis Bacon."

"We can soon test that idea", I said, getting up. I returned in 2 minutes with those three authors, as well at Marcus Aurelius's 'Thoughts', Stendhal's 'De l'Amour', and Plato's 'Symposium' . 

The 'Symposium' I waved at Max, saying "I think Aristophanes here got as close to my understanding about love as any of them. He covered both the aspect of looking for  your soul-mate, and Nature's canny trick of so positioning the genitalia that procreation is the unintended consequence. 

"Then what is left to discover?" asked Max. "Stendhal covered the business about the progressive distortion of perception as the lover succumbs to his obsession. And Aristophanes propounded the truth that the two fundamental rĂ´les of love are to promote conception, and to improve childcare; for at least a sufficient portion of the population."

"I was coming to a similar conclusion myself," I said. "But I had decided that a common characteristic of love was its lack of reason; so much so that to call an emotion 'love' almost requires the presence of folly. My friend writes to me from Colombia that she will fly back to sit at my bedside while I recover from my operation. 'No, no,' I protest, 'you were here only a month ago; when I am fit I shall come to Bogota.' What, I ask you, could be sillier than that exchange?". 

"Would you really go to Bogota?"

    "Yes I would. And that is how, for once, I feel I can honestly tell her that I love her. " 





 Dear Nick Robinson, 

    Re interview with David Mencer at 08:15, 2025-7-25

    I think there was a crucial point in David Mencer's argument that you did not address. It is a point important in understanding the Israeli attitude and in interpreting Israeli statements. It seems that the Netanyahu line is that Hamas is illegal and can be ignored because it is a terrorist organisation. They seem to regard the whole population as in support of the Hamas fighters, and therefore legitimate military targets. Hamas is, of course, also the democratically elected government of Gaza, which seems to be a point that Netanyahu does not accept.

    I think it could be argued that Israel is also a terrorist organization. They have murdered many more non-combatants than Hamas has, and with the deliberate intention of intimidating the crowd; and that comes very close to what I understand by the term 'terrorist'. (Pouring paint into an aero-engine does not terrify anyone!)  Of course, Hamas zealots started this round of violence. But there seems to have been plenty of unprovoked aggression by Israeli settlers on the Left Bank. I do not think it profitable to use the term 'terrorist' regarding either party. 

    I think we would like to know, from the relatively impartial UN operatives, what the hold-up is really due to. Perhaps UN aid workers refuse to carry food when they get shot at by Israeli soldiers; which seems understandable. Perhaps the UN authorities take the view that Hamas should be the distributors as they are the legal authority, and Israel therefore refuses to allow the UN access to the food. Also understandable, given the two mindsets.

    You started off quite well: "Let us agree the undeniable fact of starvation."  But then your desire to embarrass Mencer blew up in your face. Your tiff prevented us learning what is the the cause of the blockage. 

    I think it is time to debate publically and explain more fully why Britain has not recognised the state of Palestine – an area under British 'protection' until it became ungovernable in 1948. I do not think that Israel has shown itself to be a sufficiently grown-up authority to have jurisdiction over so many other human beings; beings which the rest of the world regard as human, but which the Israeli State does not accept as equal. 

Yours sincerely, Cawstein, 
Middleton Cheney,  Banbury,
OX17 2NB  

06 July 2025

The Terrorist

  The Terrorist.

"Awake, awake", the watchman cried, "fire, fire",

 As out into the night he stared with anxious eyes.

 His pedestrian friend turned to him, with calming voice, 

Bade "Hush!  They sleep within; and haply dream of profit; or of love."


The excited watchman turned away in scorn. "Can thinking men, 

Content themselves with hopes and dreams?" 


"No, indeed", his level-headed friend replied, 

"But you scare me, friend, your talk of fire. If, waking now, 

 They heeded well your words, abandoned jobs, laid down their tools, 

 And started for the hills, I think we'd find ourselves starving in the desert 

with five billion hungry mouths.


"Let us calmly plan ahead.

 Perhaps you could devise a scheme to shrink twofold 

In twenty years our number and our wealth; reduce our cars, 

         Our appetites, our needs and wants –– in many steps, 

         Each step being made by choice."

                                                            Ian West, Banbury, July 2025

01 July 2025

The Passing of the Adverb

 The Passing of the Adverb

 Dear Editor of the London Review of Books,

I understand that literary prose enjoys seven kinds of ambiguity; scientific prose (in which I have schooled myself) enjoys none. Your reviewer writes of Syliva Plath,

" – the last line of her probable last poem,"

I do not think Plath's last poem was more probable than any of the others, but I understand that it was probably her last. The rule (that adjectives are qualified by adverbs) enables the reader to know what is being qualified. I regret the vanishing of the adverb. 

I also regret the passing of the conditional tense in sentences like: "Were X to participate, the Red Socks might win". I recently challenged an American editor, who thought his "may win" superior, on the grounds that victory was quite probable. But for me there must always be some doubt about future events, and the "might win" is always to be preferred, in order to make clear what is being asserted, and when. 

    (Similarly with 'can' and 'could'. "If..(whatever hypothetical)......he could win". )

In phrases like "we're convinced", or  "he'd abstain", the replacement of the verb (are?, were?, would?, could?, had?) with an apostrophe removes clarity, albeit transiently. I regret this use of the lazy apostrophe (except when reporting lazy speech). 

I accept that language evolves. But I do not think that educated people should imitate the uneducated merely because the latter are more numerous. 

Yours sincerely, Cawstein.

See also:
[1]  https://occidentis.blogspot.com/2010/06/lazy-apostrophe_7926.html
[2]  https://occidentis.blogspot.com/2016/02/slovenly-apostrophes.html 
[3]  https://occidentis.blogspot.com/2023/10/the-evolving-english-language.html